Crvena zvezda vs Zalgiris Kaunas basketball prediction

Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas
Correct scoreOur pick
87-84

Total Points: Over 1651.71

Home62%
Away38%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.56
Away2.42
Total points 167.5
Over1.90
Under1.90
Spread -3.5
Home1.90
Away1.90

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Crvena zvezda vs Zalgiris Kaunas?

Basketball: Crvena zvezda vs Zalgiris Kaunas (Euroleague). We make it 87-84. Crvena zvezda is favoured at 62%. Our predicted total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Crvena zvezda by 3Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCrvena zvezdaZalgiris Kaunas
Wins62%38%
By 6+44%23%
By 11+28%12%
By 16+15%6%
By 21+7%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Crvena zvezda

Rest
118 d
  1. L89-90Subotica
  2. L78-89Partizan Mozzart Bet
  3. L94-100Partizan Mozzart Bet
  4. W95-86Cedevita Olimpija
  5. L86-92Cedevita Olimpija

Zalgiris Kaunas

Rest
4 d
  1. W93-69BC Neptūnas
  2. W98-77Gargždai
  3. W95-77Juventus Utena
  4. W100-69Juventus Utena
  5. W107-75Juventus Utena

Head to head

  1. Jan 9, 26Zalgiris Kaunas99Crvena zvezda67
  2. Oct 14, 25Crvena zvezda88Zalgiris Kaunas79
  3. Feb 27, 25Crvena zvezda80Zalgiris Kaunas86
  4. Oct 30, 24Zalgiris Kaunas86Crvena zvezda84
  5. Feb 9, 24Crvena zvezda91Zalgiris Kaunas93

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology