Colonias Gold vs San Alfonzo basketball prediction

LNB
Colonias Gold
vs
San Alfonzo
Correct score
89-71
Home97%
Away3%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Colonias Gold vs San Alfonzo?

Basketball: Colonias Gold vs San Alfonzo (LNB). We make it 89-71. Colonias Gold is favoured at 97%. Our predicted total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Colonias Gold by 18Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginColonias GoldSan Alfonzo
Wins97%3%
By 6+88%2%
By 11+78%1%
By 16+67%1%
By 21+55%0%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Colonias Gold

Season record
17-12
Points per game
81.9
Points allowed
75.3
Rest
6 d
  1. W107-71Deportivo Campoalto
  2. W84-62Capiata Bulls
  3. L87-98Dep. San Jose
  4. L67-70Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  5. W91-62Felix Perez Cardozo

San Alfonzo

Season record
8-21
Points per game
75.1
Points allowed
85.9
Rest
6 d
  1. L67-101Deportivo Amambay
  2. L75-125Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  3. L104-114Deportivo Campoalto
  4. L92-94Felix Perez Cardozo
  5. W126-89Capiata Bulls

Head to head

  1. Aug 31, 26San Alfonzo45Colonias Gold90
  2. May 25, 26San Alfonzo52Colonias Gold81
  3. Apr 30, 26Colonias Gold104San Alfonzo60
  4. Oct 9, 25San Alfonzo83Colonias Gold96
  5. Sep 11, 25Colonias Gold109San Alfonzo79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology