Beroe Stara Zagora Women vs Ferrol Women basketball prediction

EuroCup Women
Beroe Stara Zagora Women
vs
Ferrol Women
Correct score
72-76
Home32%
Away68%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Beroe Stara Zagora Women vs Ferrol Women?

Basketball: Beroe Stara Zagora Women vs Ferrol Women (EuroCup Women). We make it 72-76. Ferrol Women is favoured at 68%. Our predicted total is 148 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Ferrol Women by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBeroe Stara Zagora WomenFerrol Women
Wins32%68%
By 6+24%55%
By 11+17%43%
By 16+12%32%
By 21+7%22%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Beroe Stara Zagora Women

Rest
301 d
  1. L49-111ESB Villeneuve Women
  2. L74-78BCF Elfic Fribourg Women
  3. L66-99Sleza Wroclaw Women
  4. L61-93ESB Villeneuve Women
  5. L62-84BCF Elfic Fribourg Women

Ferrol Women

Rest
151 d
  1. W80-69Leganes Women
  2. L66-86Araski Women
  3. L67-69Zaragoza Women
  4. L74-85Valencia Women
  5. W75-67Uni Girona Women

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology