Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz vs Olympiacos Piraeus basketball prediction

Euroleague
Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
vs
Olympiacos Piraeus
Correct score
87-88
Home47%
Away53%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz vs Olympiacos Piraeus?

Basketball: Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz vs Olympiacos Piraeus (Euroleague). We make it 87-88. Olympiacos Piraeus is favoured at 53%. Our predicted total is 175 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Olympiacos Piraeus by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBaskonia Vitoria-GasteizOlympiacos Piraeus
Wins47%53%
By 6+30%36%
By 11+17%21%
By 16+8%11%
By 21+4%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

Rest
5 d
  1. L84-96Joventut Badalona
  2. L88-96Joventut Badalona
  3. L63-82Joventut Badalona
  4. W85-71Joventut Badalona
  5. W92-89Unicaja Malaga

Olympiacos Piraeus

Rest
103 d
  1. W89-85Panathinaikos
  2. L86-93Panathinaikos
  3. W102-92Panathinaikos
  4. L58-68Panathinaikos
  5. W82-76Panathinaikos

Head to head

  1. Mar 19, 26Olympiacos Piraeus90Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz80
  2. Sep 30, 25Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz96Olympiacos Piraeus102
  3. Jan 14, 25Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz101Olympiacos Piraeus102
  4. Nov 21, 24Olympiacos Piraeus92Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz69
  5. Jan 12, 24Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz80Olympiacos Piraeus69

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology