Barcelona Bàsquet vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul basketball prediction

Euroleague
Barcelona Bàsquet
vs
Anadolu Efes Istanbul
Correct scoreOur pick
86-81

Spread: Home -1.51.71

Home68%
Away32%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.47
Away2.69
Total points 169
Over1.89
Under1.91
Spread -5
Home1.90
Away1.90

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Barcelona Bàsquet vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul?

Basketball: Barcelona Bàsquet vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul (Euroleague). We make it 86-81. Barcelona Bàsquet is favoured at 68%. Our predicted total is 167 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Barcelona Bàsquet by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBarcelona BàsquetAnadolu Efes Istanbul
Wins68%32%
By 6+51%18%
By 11+34%9%
By 16+20%4%
By 21+10%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Barcelona Bàsquet

Rest
4 d
  1. L87-101Joventut Badalona
  2. W87-86Valencia
  3. L84-108Valencia
  4. L80-88Valencia
  5. L75-102Valencia

Anadolu Efes Istanbul

Rest
4 d
  1. W88-82Lokomotiv Kuban
  2. W91-79Unics Kazan
  3. W100-76Zenit Petersburg
  4. L93-102Fenerbahce
  5. W102-93Fenerbahce

Head to head

  1. Mar 24, 26Barcelona Bàsquet78Anadolu Efes Istanbul71
  2. Nov 20, 25Anadolu Efes Istanbul74Barcelona Bàsquet73
  3. Jan 17, 25Barcelona Bàsquet90Anadolu Efes Istanbul80
  4. Oct 29, 24Anadolu Efes Istanbul88Barcelona Bàsquet97
  5. Jan 18, 24Anadolu Efes Istanbul98Barcelona Bàsquet74

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology