Ancud vs Puerto Montt basketball prediction

LNB
Correct score
83-79
Home58%
Away42%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Ancud vs Puerto Montt?

Basketball: Ancud vs Puerto Montt (LNB). We make it 83-79. Ancud is favoured at 58%. Our predicted total is 162 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Ancud by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAncudPuerto Montt
Wins58%42%
By 6+43%27%
By 11+29%16%
By 16+17%8%
By 21+9%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Ancud

Season record
12-17
Points per game
81.1
Points allowed
83.1
Rest
7 d
  1. W74-65Espanol Osorno
  2. L76-89Valdivia
  3. L66-88Puerto Montt
  4. W82-71Naviera Ulloa
  5. W86-82CD Puerto Varas

Puerto Montt

Season record
13-17
Points per game
79.1
Points allowed
81.9
Rest
7 d
  1. W82-78CD Puerto Varas
  2. W81-68CD Puerto Varas
  3. W86-84Colo Colo
  4. W74-67Colo Colo
  5. W92-72Naviera Ulloa

Head to head

  1. Aug 15, 26Ancud66Puerto Montt88
  2. Jul 25, 26Puerto Montt71Ancud86
  3. Apr 30, 26Puerto Montt88Ancud90
  4. Apr 9, 26Ancud76Puerto Montt86
  5. Nov 25, 23Puerto Montt68Ancud113

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology