ALBA Berlin vs Fraport Skyliners basketball prediction

BBL
ALBA Berlin
vs
Fraport Skyliners
Correct score
90-79
Home89%
Away11%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for ALBA Berlin vs Fraport Skyliners?

Basketball: ALBA Berlin vs Fraport Skyliners (BBL). We make it 90-79. ALBA Berlin is favoured at 89%. Our predicted total is 169 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it ALBA Berlin by 11Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginALBA BerlinFraport Skyliners
Wins89%11%
By 6+76%6%
By 11+61%3%
By 16+45%1%
By 21+30%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

ALBA Berlin

Season record
1-0
Points per game
89
Points allowed
82
Rest
5 d
  1. W89-82Chemnitz 99 Niners
  2. W84-81Bayern Munich
  3. W71-61Bayern Munich
  4. L83-91Bayern Munich
  5. W86-79Bayern Munich

Fraport Skyliners

Rest
11 d
  1. W94-63Jena
  2. L64-103Ulm
  3. L82-86Chemnitz 99 Niners
  4. L72-104Bonn Telekom Baskets
  5. L61-87ALBA Berlin

Head to head

  1. Apr 26, 26Fraport Skyliners61ALBA Berlin87
  2. Dec 7, 25ALBA Berlin89Fraport Skyliners83
  3. Apr 20, 25ALBA Berlin89Fraport Skyliners68
  4. Jan 12, 25Fraport Skyliners61ALBA Berlin75

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology