Srsni Pisek vs Hradec Kralove basketball prediction

NBL
Srsni Pisek
vs
Hradec Kralove
Correct score
86-83
Home61%
Away39%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Srsni Pisek vs Hradec Kralove?

Basketball: Srsni Pisek vs Hradec Kralove (NBL). We make it 86-83. Srsni Pisek is favoured at 61%. Our predicted total is 169 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Srsni Pisek by 3Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSrsni PisekHradec Kralove
Wins61%39%
By 6+47%27%
By 11+34%17%
By 16+22%10%
By 21+14%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Srsni Pisek

Rest
141 d
  1. L71-79Pardubice
  2. L63-78Pardubice
  3. L74-78Pardubice
  4. L81-99Pardubice
  5. W100-92USK Praha

Hradec Kralove

Rest
147 d
  1. W94-62Zlin
  2. W81-56Zlin
  3. W86-84Olomoucko
  4. W97-89Slavia Prague
  5. W97-69USK Praha

Head to head

  1. Jan 17, 26Srsni Pisek89Hradec Kralove74
  2. Nov 12, 25Hradec Kralove67Srsni Pisek89

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology