Olomoucko vs Pardubice basketball prediction

NBL
Olomoucko
vs
Pardubice
Correct score
81-85
Home29%
Away71%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Olomoucko vs Pardubice?

Basketball: Olomoucko vs Pardubice (NBL). We make it 81-85. Pardubice is favoured at 71%. Our predicted total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Pardubice by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginOlomouckoPardubice
Wins29%71%
By 6+20%55%
By 11+12%40%
By 16+7%26%
By 21+4%16%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Olomoucko

Rest
152 d
  1. L71-102NH Ostrava
  2. L77-81NH Ostrava
  3. L84-86Hradec Kralove
  4. W88-81Slavia Prague
  5. W95-65USK Praha

Pardubice

Season record
1-0
Points per game
85
Points allowed
79
Rest
4 d
  1. W85-79Brno Basket
  2. L74-91Nymburk
  3. W86-57Nymburk
  4. L71-92Nymburk
  5. W101-100Nymburk

Head to head

  1. Jan 21, 26Pardubice92Olomoucko68
  2. Jan 17, 26Olomoucko79Pardubice82
  3. Jan 7, 26Olomoucko64Pardubice83
  4. Nov 12, 25Pardubice87Olomoucko73
  5. Apr 13, 25Olomoucko78Pardubice75

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology