NH Ostrava vs Brno Basket basketball prediction

NBL
NH Ostrava
vs
Brno Basket
Correct score
86-86
Home44%
Away56%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for NH Ostrava vs Brno Basket?

Basketball: NH Ostrava vs Brno Basket (NBL). We make it 86-86. Brno Basket is favoured at 56%. Our predicted total is 172 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it levelOur predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginNH OstravaBrno Basket
Wins44%56%
By 6+32%41%
By 11+22%27%
By 16+13%17%
By 21+7%10%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

NH Ostrava

Season record
1-0
Points per game
89
Points allowed
77
Rest
4 d
  1. W89-77Opava
  2. L70-116Nymburk
  3. L71-93Nymburk
  4. L67-101Nymburk
  5. L69-113Nymburk

Brno Basket

Season record
0-1
Points per game
79
Points allowed
85
Rest
4 d
  1. L79-85Pardubice
  2. L101-102Opava
  3. L65-96Opava
  4. W99-97Opava
  5. L87-98Pardubice

Head to head

  1. Apr 4, 26NH Ostrava77Brno Basket102
  2. Feb 17, 26Brno Basket100NH Ostrava88
  3. Dec 20, 25Brno Basket84NH Ostrava82
  4. Oct 18, 25NH Ostrava80Brno Basket94
  5. Jan 4, 25NH Ostrava75Brno Basket82

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology