Alvark vs Ryukyu Golden Kings basketball prediction

B League
Alvark
vs
Ryukyu Golden Kings
Projected score
78-80
Home43%
Away57%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Alvark vs Ryukyu Golden Kings?

Basketball: Alvark vs Ryukyu Golden Kings (B League). Projected 78-80. Ryukyu Golden Kings is favoured at 57%. Our projected total is 158 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Ryukyu Golden Kings by 2Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAlvarkRyukyu Golden Kings
Wins43%57%
By 6+29%40%
By 11+17%27%
By 16+9%16%
By 21+4%9%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Alvark

Rest
136 d
  1. L56-96Nagasaki
  2. L78-93Nagasaki
  3. L96-97Levanga Hokkaido
  4. W111-104Levanga Hokkaido
  5. W87-77Shiga

Ryukyu Golden Kings

Rest
118 d
  1. L64-72Nagasaki
  2. L60-66Nagasaki
  3. W71-69Nagasaki
  4. W90-74Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
  5. W85-65Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Head to head

  1. Mar 22, 26Alvark76Ryukyu Golden Kings77
  2. Oct 12, 25Ryukyu Golden Kings82Alvark76
  3. Oct 11, 25Ryukyu Golden Kings83Alvark68
  4. Feb 2, 25Alvark58Ryukyu Golden Kings83
  5. Feb 1, 25Alvark87Ryukyu Golden Kings67

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology