Correcaminos UAT Victoria vs Fuerza Regia de Monterrey basketball prediction

LNBP
Correcaminos UAT Victoria
vs
Fuerza Regia de Monterrey
Projected score
87-95
Home20%
Away80%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Correcaminos UAT Victoria vs Fuerza Regia de Monterrey?

Basketball: Correcaminos UAT Victoria vs Fuerza Regia de Monterrey (LNBP). Projected 87-95. Fuerza Regia de Monterrey is favoured at 80%. Our projected total is 182 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Fuerza Regia de Monterrey by 8Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCorrecaminos UAT VictoriaFuerza Regia de Monterrey
Wins20%80%
By 6+12%65%
By 11+6%49%
By 16+3%34%
By 21+1%21%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Correcaminos UAT Victoria

Season record
4-16
Points per game
83.8
Points allowed
93.2
Rest
4 d
  1. L91-96Diablos Rojos
  2. L79-107Diablos Rojos
  3. W85-83Dorados
  4. L79-86Dorados
  5. L88-100Panteras

Fuerza Regia de Monterrey

Season record
13-7
Points per game
90.3
Points allowed
87.2
Rest
3 d
  1. W87-84Mineros
  2. L100-101Mineros
  3. W103-74Santos
  4. W101-89Santos
  5. L75-76Abejas

Head to head

  1. Sep 27, 25Fuerza Regia de Monterrey101Correcaminos UAT Victoria82
  2. Sep 27, 25Fuerza Regia de Monterrey113Correcaminos UAT Victoria86
  3. Jul 6, 25Correcaminos UAT Victoria78Fuerza Regia de Monterrey98
  4. Jul 5, 25Correcaminos UAT Victoria71Fuerza Regia de Monterrey104
  5. Aug 1, 24Correcaminos UAT Victoria73Fuerza Regia de Monterrey81

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology