Olomoucko vs Hradec Kralove basketball prediction

NBL
Olomoucko
vs
Hradec Kralove
Projected score
85-80
Home66%
Away34%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Olomoucko vs Hradec Kralove?

Basketball: Olomoucko vs Hradec Kralove (NBL). Projected 85-80. Olomoucko is favoured at 66%. Our projected total is 165 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Olomoucko by 5Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginOlomouckoHradec Kralove
Wins66%34%
By 6+52%23%
By 11+38%14%
By 16+26%8%
By 21+16%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Olomoucko

Rest
148 d
  1. L71-102NH Ostrava
  2. L77-81NH Ostrava
  3. L84-86Hradec Kralove
  4. W88-81Slavia Prague
  5. W95-65USK Praha

Hradec Kralove

Rest
143 d
  1. W94-62Zlin
  2. W81-56Zlin
  3. W86-84Olomoucko
  4. W97-89Slavia Prague
  5. W97-69USK Praha

Head to head

  1. Apr 11, 26Hradec Kralove86Olomoucko84
  2. Mar 25, 26Olomoucko86Hradec Kralove77
  3. Mar 18, 26Olomoucko86Hradec Kralove71
  4. Mar 5, 26Hradec Kralove92Olomoucko77
  5. Nov 5, 25Hradec Kralove51Olomoucko74

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology