Lidingo Women vs Ostersund 2 Women basketball prediction

Basketettan Women
Lidingo Women
vs
Ostersund 2 Women
Projected score
72-62
Home79%
Away21%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Lidingo Women vs Ostersund 2 Women?

Basketball: Lidingo Women vs Ostersund 2 Women (Basketettan Women). Projected 72-62. Lidingo Women is favoured at 79%. Our projected total is 134 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Lidingo Women by 10Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginLidingo WomenOstersund 2 Women
Wins79%21%
By 6+68%15%
By 11+56%10%
By 16+44%6%
By 21+33%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Lidingo Women

Rest
161 d
  1. W78-73Lulea 2 Women
  2. L42-83Hammarby Women
  3. W90-64Tureberg Women
  4. W68-57Skuru Women
  5. L73-74Lulea Stars Women

Ostersund 2 Women

Rest
161 d
  1. W81-65Tureberg Women
  2. L40-93Hammarby Women
  3. L55-65Umea Women
  4. W58-49Skuru Women
  5. W63-60Lulea 2 Women

Head to head

  1. Dec 7, 25Ostersund 2 Women55Lidingo Women64
  2. Nov 29, 25Lidingo Women57Ostersund 2 Women41
  3. Apr 6, 25Ostersund 2 Women54Lidingo Women60
  4. Mar 30, 25Lidingo Women77Ostersund 2 Women49
  5. Jan 13, 24Lidingo Women90Ostersund 2 Women35

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology