Golden State Valkyries Women vs Seattle Storm Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Golden State Valkyries Women
vs
Seattle Storm Women
Projected score
85-74
Home87%
Away13%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Golden State Valkyries Women vs Seattle Storm Women?

Basketball: Golden State Valkyries Women vs Seattle Storm Women (NBA Women). Projected 85-74. Golden State Valkyries Women is favoured at 87%. Our projected total is 159 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Golden State Valkyries Women by 11Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginGolden State Valkyries WomenSeattle Storm Women
Wins87%13%
By 6+73%7%
By 11+57%3%
By 16+41%1%
By 21+26%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Golden State Valkyries Women

Season record
29-11
Points per game
82.3
Points allowed
75.3
Rest
20 d
  1. W86-69Portland Women
  2. W79-60New York Liberty Women
  3. W89-64Connecticut Sun Women
  4. W80-66Minnesota Lynx Women
  5. L70-73Chicago Sky Women

Seattle Storm Women

Season record
9-34
Points per game
82.7
Points allowed
88.4
Rest
1 dback-to-back
  1. L77-114Las Vegas Aces Women
  2. L74-90Los Angeles Sparks Women
  3. W90-78Toronto Tempo Women
  4. L70-92Dallas Wings Women
  5. L80-82Chicago Sky Women

Head to head

  1. Jun 13, 26Seattle Storm Women72Golden State Valkyries Women76
  2. May 9, 26Seattle Storm Women80Golden State Valkyries Women91
  3. Apr 26, 26Golden State Valkyries Women78Seattle Storm Women76
  4. Sep 10, 25Seattle Storm Women74Golden State Valkyries Women73
  5. Jul 16, 25Seattle Storm Women67Golden State Valkyries Women58

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology