Fenerbahce 2 vs Kecioren Baglum basketball prediction

TBL
Fenerbahce 2
vs
Kecioren Baglum
Projected score
82-78
Home69%
Away31%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Fenerbahce 2 vs Kecioren Baglum?

Basketball: Fenerbahce 2 vs Kecioren Baglum (TBL). Projected 82-78. Fenerbahce 2 is favoured at 69%. Our projected total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Fenerbahce 2 by 4Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginFenerbahce 2Kecioren Baglum
Wins69%31%
By 6+53%20%
By 11+37%11%
By 16+23%6%
By 21+13%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Fenerbahce 2

Season record
1-0
Points per game
70
Points allowed
69
Rest
7 d
  1. W70-69Balıkesir BŞB
  2. L63-91Konya BBSK
  3. W98-93Konya BBSK
  4. L80-102Konya BBSK
  5. L70-78Harem Spor

Kecioren Baglum

Season record
1-0
Points per game
82
Points allowed
68
Rest
8 d
  1. W82-68Gaziantep
  2. L85-88Sakarya BB
  3. W75-66Akhisar Belediye
  4. W89-65Akhisar Belediye
  5. W89-79Akhisar Belediye

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology