Pardubice vs Brno Basket basketball prediction

NBL
Pardubice
vs
Brno Basket
Projected scoreOur pick
89-79

Spread: Home -6.51.60

Home80%
Away20%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.21price rising, opened at 1.09
Away3.50price falling, opened at 5.00
Total points 165.5
Over1.74price falling, opened at 1.80
Under1.76price falling, opened at 1.78
Spread -9.5 line moved from -12.5
Home1.83
Away1.75

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Pardubice vs Brno Basket?

Basketball: Pardubice vs Brno Basket (NBL). Projected 89-79. Pardubice is favoured at 80%. Our projected total is 168 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Pardubice by 10Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPardubiceBrno Basket
Wins80%20%
By 6+67%12%
By 11+53%7%
By 16+38%4%
By 21+26%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Pardubice

Rest
95 d
  1. L74-91Nymburk
  2. W86-57Nymburk
  3. L71-92Nymburk
  4. W101-100Nymburk
  5. W79-78Nymburk

Brno Basket

Rest
104 d
  1. L101-102Opava
  2. L65-96Opava
  3. W99-97Opava
  4. L87-98Pardubice
  5. L75-90Pardubice

Head to head

  1. May 27, 26Brno Basket87Pardubice98
  2. May 25, 26Pardubice90Brno Basket75
  3. May 22, 26Brno Basket90Pardubice94
  4. May 21, 26Brno Basket72Pardubice82
  5. May 18, 26Pardubice89Brno Basket92

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology