Golden State Valkyries Women vs Portland Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Golden State Valkyries Women
vs
Portland Women
Projected scoreOur pick
87-77

Total Points: Over 1581.80

Home86%
Away14%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.11price falling, opened at 1.12
Away6.60price rising, opened at 6.20
Total points 159.5 line moved from 161.5
Over1.89
Under1.91
Spread -13.5
Home1.90
Away1.90

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Golden State Valkyries Women vs Portland Women?

Basketball: Golden State Valkyries Women vs Portland Women (NBA Women). Projected 87-77. Golden State Valkyries Women is favoured at 86%. Our projected total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Golden State Valkyries Women by 10Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginGolden State Valkyries WomenPortland Women
Wins86%14%
By 6+72%8%
By 11+56%4%
By 16+39%2%
By 21+25%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Golden State Valkyries Women

Season record
29-11
Points per game
82.3
Points allowed
75.3
Rest
19 d
  1. W86-69Portland Women
  2. W79-60New York Liberty Women
  3. W89-64Connecticut Sun Women
  4. W80-66Minnesota Lynx Women
  5. L70-73Chicago Sky Women

Portland Women

Season record
14-26
Points per game
86.5
Points allowed
90.8
Rest
1 dback-to-back
  1. L91-94Phoenix Mercury Women
  2. L69-86Golden State Valkyries Women
  3. W101-83Atlanta Dream Women
  4. L78-96Dallas Wings Women
  5. L100-105Washington Mystics Women

Head to head

  1. Aug 30, 26Portland Women69Golden State Valkyries Women86
  2. Jun 3, 26Golden State Valkyries Women95Portland Women77

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology