Gaziantep vs Final Spor basketball prediction

TBL
Gaziantep
vs
Final Spor
Projected scoreOur pick
83-74

Total Points: Over 151.51.69

Home85%
Away15%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.22
Away3.49
Total points 154 line moved from 154.5
Over1.75
Under1.75
Spread -8.5
Home1.76
Away1.82

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Gaziantep vs Final Spor?

Basketball: Gaziantep vs Final Spor (TBL). Projected 83-74. Gaziantep is favoured at 85%. Our projected total is 157 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Gaziantep by 9Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginGaziantepFinal Spor
Wins85%15%
By 6+70%9%
By 11+53%4%
By 16+36%2%
By 21+23%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Gaziantep

Season record
0-1
Points per game
68
Points allowed
82
Rest
7 d
  1. L68-82Kecioren Baglum
  2. L65-79Bordo Sportif
  3. L67-75Bordo Sportif
  4. L62-83Bordo Sportif
  5. W98-96Konya BBSK

Final Spor

Season record
1-0
Points per game
84
Points allowed
80
Rest
7 d
  1. W84-80Sigortam.net ITU
  2. L88-89CO Basket
  3. L70-77Ankara D.S.I.
  4. L67-77Çayırova Belediyesi
  5. L89-92Goztepe

Head to head

  1. Feb 4, 26Gaziantep86Final Spor65
  2. Oct 16, 25Final Spor77Gaziantep112
  3. Apr 13, 25Final Spor71Gaziantep107
  4. Dec 15, 24Gaziantep91Final Spor81
  5. Apr 21, 24Final Spor89Gaziantep73

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology