Alvik 2 Women vs Blackeberg Women basketball prediction

Basketettan WomenFull time
Alvik 2 Women
64:68
Blackeberg Women
Correct score
69-66
Home55%
Away45%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Alvik 2 Women vs Blackeberg Women?

Basketball: Alvik 2 Women vs Blackeberg Women (Basketettan Women). We make it 69-66. Alvik 2 Women is favoured at 55%. Our predicted total is 135 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Alvik 2 Women by 3Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAlvik 2 WomenBlackeberg Women
Wins55%45%
By 6+45%34%
By 11+34%25%
By 16+25%17%
By 21+17%11%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Alvik 2 Women

Rest
524 d
  1. W67-61Blackeberg Women
  2. W67-56Tureberg Women
  3. L89-91Hammarby Women
  4. W84-47KFUM Uppsala Women
  5. L59-75Fryshuset Basket Women

Blackeberg Women

Rest
159 d
  1. L73-75Lulea Stars Women
  2. L67-97Fryshuset Basket Women
  3. W75-58Tureberg Women
  4. L64-87Hammarby Women
  5. W82-66Viby Women

Head to head

  1. Apr 12, 25Blackeberg Women61Alvik 2 Women67
  2. Sep 21, 24Alvik 2 Women92Blackeberg Women65
  3. Mar 6, 24Alvik 2 Women89Blackeberg Women75
  4. Feb 10, 24Blackeberg Women70Alvik 2 Women91

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeAlvik 2 Women 64, Blackeberg Women 68winner call wrong

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology