Valecnici Decin vs Polabi basketball prediction

1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
vs
Polabi
Projected score
85-78
Home65%
Away35%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Valecnici Decin vs Polabi?

Basketball: Valecnici Decin vs Polabi (1. Liga). Projected 85-78. Valecnici Decin is favoured at 65%. Our projected total is 163 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Valecnici Decin by 7Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginValecnici DecinPolabi
Wins65%35%
By 6+53%25%
By 11+41%16%
By 16+30%10%
By 21+20%6%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Valecnici Decin

Rest
160 d
  1. L80-86Zlin
  2. L78-93Zlin
  3. W85-65Pardubice 2
  4. W94-74Pardubice 2
  5. L86-95Novy Jicin

Polabi

Rest
182 d
  1. L73-111Opava 2
  2. L91-100Brno U23 Women
  3. L90-92BK Svitavy
  4. W79-52Opava 2
  5. W92-80Brno U23 Women

Head to head

  1. Nov 16, 25Valecnici Decin83Polabi68

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology