Toronto Tempo Women vs Indiana Fever Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Toronto Tempo Women
vs
Indiana Fever Women
Projected score
91-99
Home19%
Away81%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Toronto Tempo Women vs Indiana Fever Women?

Basketball: Toronto Tempo Women vs Indiana Fever Women (NBA Women). Projected 91-99. Indiana Fever Women is favoured at 81%. Our projected total is 190 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Indiana Fever Women by 8Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginToronto Tempo WomenIndiana Fever Women
Wins19%81%
By 6+11%65%
By 11+6%47%
By 16+3%31%
By 21+1%18%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Toronto Tempo Women

Season record
11-30
Points per game
85.7
Points allowed
93
Rest
19 d
  1. L69-101Phoenix Mercury Women
  2. L73-93Las Vegas Aces Women
  3. L78-90Seattle Storm Women
  4. L78-88Las Vegas Aces Women
  5. W82-79Portland Women

Indiana Fever Women

Season record
26-16
Points per game
96.3
Points allowed
91.6
Rest
21 d
  1. W111-91Connecticut Sun Women
  2. L90-113Chicago Sky Women
  3. L102-109New York Liberty Women
  4. L85-91Dallas Wings Women
  5. W101-95Toronto Tempo Women

Head to head

  1. Aug 18, 26Toronto Tempo Women95Indiana Fever Women101
  2. Jun 16, 26Indiana Fever Women113Toronto Tempo Women91

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology