Pasay Voyagers vs Marikina Verdiamonds basketball prediction

MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
vs
Marikina Verdiamonds
Projected score
85-75
Home87%
Away13%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Pasay Voyagers vs Marikina Verdiamonds?

Basketball: Pasay Voyagers vs Marikina Verdiamonds (MPBL). Projected 85-75. Pasay Voyagers is favoured at 87%. Our projected total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Pasay Voyagers by 10Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPasay VoyagersMarikina Verdiamonds
Wins87%13%
By 6+73%9%
By 11+58%5%
By 16+43%3%
By 21+29%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Pasay Voyagers

Season record
13-12
Points per game
80.4
Points allowed
76.1
Rest
6 d
  1. W63-61Mindoro Tamaraws
  2. L59-67Quezon Huskers
  3. W87-69Marikina Verdiamonds
  4. L61-67Rizal Golden Coolers
  5. W85-67Batangas City

Marikina Verdiamonds

Season record
7-18
Points per game
79.6
Points allowed
88
Rest
10 d
  1. L78-99Bataan Risers
  2. L80-92Pasig City
  3. L69-87Pasay Voyagers
  4. W108-84Manila Batang Quiapo
  5. L69-71Mindoro Tamaraws

Head to head

  1. Aug 15, 26Pasay Voyagers87Marikina Verdiamonds69
  2. Sep 17, 25Pasay Voyagers95Marikina Verdiamonds89

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology