MS Academy vs Basketbal Olomouc basketball prediction

1. Liga
Projected score
85-80
Home60%
Away40%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for MS Academy vs Basketbal Olomouc?

Basketball: MS Academy vs Basketbal Olomouc (1. Liga). Projected 85-80. MS Academy is favoured at 60%. Our projected total is 165 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: MS Academy by 5Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginMS AcademyBasketbal Olomouc
Wins60%40%
By 6+49%28%
By 11+37%19%
By 16+26%12%
By 21+18%7%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

MS Academy

Rest
161 d
  1. W91-87Chomutov
  2. W79-56USK Prague B
  3. W98-87Sokol Prazsky
  4. L88-96CZ.Academy
  5. W77-73USK Prague B

Basketbal Olomouc

Rest
161 d
  1. W87-80USK Prague B
  2. W83-70Sokol Prazsky
  3. W99-93CZ.Academy
  4. L71-72Chomutov
  5. L71-84USK Prague B

Head to head

  1. Nov 23, 25Basketbal Olomouc75MS Academy77
  2. Sep 21, 25MS Academy93Basketbal Olomouc76

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology