Minnesota Lynx Women vs New York Liberty Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Minnesota Lynx Women
vs
New York Liberty Women
Projected score
90-85
Home69%
Away31%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Minnesota Lynx Women vs New York Liberty Women?

Basketball: Minnesota Lynx Women vs New York Liberty Women (NBA Women). Projected 90-85. Minnesota Lynx Women is favoured at 69%. Our projected total is 175 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Minnesota Lynx Women by 5Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginMinnesota Lynx WomenNew York Liberty Women
Wins69%31%
By 6+53%19%
By 11+37%10%
By 16+23%5%
By 21+13%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Minnesota Lynx Women

Season record
33-9
Points per game
90.5
Points allowed
82.6
Rest
19 d
  1. L81-89Atlanta Dream Women
  2. L66-80Golden State Valkyries Women
  3. W94-84Washington Mystics Women
  4. W77-66Golden State Valkyries Women
  5. W92-87Las Vegas Aces Women

New York Liberty Women

Season record
27-16
Points per game
89.8
Points allowed
86.7
Rest
20 d
  1. W85-66Chicago Sky Women
  2. L60-79Golden State Valkyries Women
  3. W109-102Indiana Fever Women
  4. W93-86Chicago Sky Women
  5. W82-75Connecticut Sun Women

Head to head

  1. Jul 11, 26Minnesota Lynx Women90New York Liberty Women85
  2. Jul 3, 26New York Liberty Women99Minnesota Lynx Women86
  3. Aug 19, 25New York Liberty Women85Minnesota Lynx Women75
  4. Aug 16, 25Minnesota Lynx Women86New York Liberty Women80
  5. Aug 10, 25New York Liberty Women71Minnesota Lynx Women83

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology