CZ.Academy vs USK Prague B basketball prediction

1. Liga
Projected score
84-79
Home62%
Away38%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for CZ.Academy vs USK Prague B?

Basketball: CZ.Academy vs USK Prague B (1. Liga). Projected 84-79. CZ.Academy is favoured at 62%. Our projected total is 163 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: CZ.Academy by 5Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCZ.AcademyUSK Prague B
Wins62%38%
By 6+50%27%
By 11+38%18%
By 16+27%11%
By 21+18%7%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

CZ.Academy

Rest
161 d
  1. W79-69BK Jindrichuv Hradec
  2. L93-99Basketbal Olomouc
  3. W96-88MS Academy
  4. L73-84Vysoka
  5. W89-86BK Jindrichuv Hradec

USK Prague B

Rest
161 d
  1. L80-87Basketbal Olomouc
  2. L56-79MS Academy
  3. W86-81BK Jindrichuv Hradec
  4. W76-59Vysoka
  5. L63-97BK Jindrichuv Hradec

Head to head

  1. Jan 22, 26CZ.Academy62USK Prague B86
  2. Nov 9, 25USK Prague B83CZ.Academy74
  3. Jan 5, 25USK Prague B78CZ.Academy83
  4. Oct 11, 24CZ.Academy60USK Prague B56

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology