VEF Riga vs Dziki Warszawa basketball prediction

Champions LeagueFull time
VEF Riga
95:102
Dziki Warszawa
Projected score
91-88
Home60%
Away40%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for VEF Riga vs Dziki Warszawa?

Basketball: VEF Riga vs Dziki Warszawa (Champions League). Projected 91-88. VEF Riga is favoured at 60%. Our projected total is 179 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: VEF Riga by 3Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginVEF RigaDziki Warszawa
Wins60%40%
By 6+45%26%
By 11+30%15%
By 16+18%8%
By 21+10%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

VEF Riga

Season record
1-0
Points per game
105
Points allowed
88
Rest
3 d
  1. W105-88Absheron Lions
  2. L80-93Rigas Zelli
  3. L100-112Rigas Zelli
  4. W94-84Rigas Zelli
  5. L67-75Ventspils

Dziki Warszawa

Season record
1-0
Points per game
116
Points allowed
99
Rest
2 d
  1. W116-99Opava
  2. W92-78Arka Gdynia
  3. L84-89Arka Gdynia
  4. L78-91Legia
  5. L76-78Legia

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeVEF Riga 95, Dziki Warszawa 102winner call wrong

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology