Panteras vs Astros basketball prediction

LNBP
Panteras
vs
Astros
Projected score
86-88
Home40%
Away60%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Panteras vs Astros?

Basketball: Panteras vs Astros (LNBP). Projected 86-88. Astros is favoured at 60%. Our projected total is 174 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Astros by 2Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPanterasAstros
Wins40%60%
By 6+26%45%
By 11+16%30%
By 16+8%18%
By 21+4%10%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Panteras

Season record
12-6
Points per game
90.1
Points allowed
85.1
Rest
5 d
  1. W86-82El Calor de Cancun
  2. L88-103El Calor de Cancun
  3. W100-88Correcaminos UAT Victoria
  4. W111-78Correcaminos UAT Victoria
  5. L78-98Mineros

Astros

Season record
13-5
Points per game
88
Points allowed
80.1
Rest
4 d
  1. W81-74Soles
  2. L76-90Soles
  3. W77-67Freseros de Irapuato
  4. W129-117Freseros de Irapuato
  5. W88-79El Calor de Cancun

Head to head

  1. Jul 25, 25Astros84Panteras76
  2. Jul 24, 25Astros91Panteras64
  3. Aug 24, 24Panteras86Astros81
  4. Aug 23, 24Panteras86Astros76

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology