Manchester Giants vs Breogan basketball prediction

Champions LeagueFull time
Manchester Giants
84:105
Breogan
Projected score
88-86
Home54%
Away46%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Manchester Giants vs Breogan?

Basketball: Manchester Giants vs Breogan (Champions League). Projected 88-86. Manchester Giants is favoured at 54%. Our projected total is 174 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Manchester Giants by 2Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginManchester GiantsBreogan
Wins54%46%
By 6+39%31%
By 11+25%19%
By 16+15%10%
By 21+8%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Manchester Giants

Season record
1-0
Points per game
74
Points allowed
73
Rest
2 d
  1. W74-73Wurzburg
  2. L117-123Cheshire Phoenix
  3. L78-106Cheshire Phoenix
  4. W90-85Bristol Flyers
  5. W98-95Bristol Flyers

Breogan

Season record
1-0
Points per game
126
Points allowed
80
Rest
2 d
  1. W126-80Rilski Sportist Samokov
  2. L94-95Basket Zaragoza
  3. L83-101Unicaja Malaga
  4. W95-76Basquet Girona
  5. W114-87Força Lleida

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeManchester Giants 84, Breogan 105winner call wrong

Match highlights

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology