Fuerza Regia de Monterrey vs Mineros basketball prediction

LNBP
Fuerza Regia de Monterrey
vs
Mineros
Projected score
89-86
Home58%
Away42%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Fuerza Regia de Monterrey vs Mineros?

Basketball: Fuerza Regia de Monterrey vs Mineros (LNBP). Projected 89-86. Fuerza Regia de Monterrey is favoured at 58%. Our projected total is 175 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Fuerza Regia de Monterrey by 3Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginFuerza Regia de MonterreyMineros
Wins58%42%
By 6+43%28%
By 11+29%17%
By 16+17%9%
By 21+9%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Fuerza Regia de Monterrey

Season record
12-6
Points per game
89.9
Points allowed
86.6
Rest
5 d
  1. W103-74Santos
  2. W101-89Santos
  3. L75-76Abejas
  4. W95-84Abejas
  5. W91-90Lobos Plateados

Mineros

Season record
10-8
Points per game
86.4
Points allowed
83.5
Rest
6 d
  1. W98-85Diablos Rojos
  2. L75-81Diablos Rojos
  3. W92-82Dorados
  4. L71-95Dorados
  5. W98-78Panteras

Head to head

  1. Oct 15, 25Mineros73Fuerza Regia de Monterrey86
  2. Oct 14, 25Mineros88Fuerza Regia de Monterrey85
  3. Oct 11, 25Fuerza Regia de Monterrey86Mineros81
  4. Oct 10, 25Fuerza Regia de Monterrey84Mineros83
  5. Aug 24, 25Fuerza Regia de Monterrey87Mineros63

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology