Deportivo Amambay vs San Alfonzo basketball prediction

LNB
Deportivo Amambay
vs
San Alfonzo
Projected score
86-73
Home92%
Away8%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Deportivo Amambay vs San Alfonzo?

Basketball: Deportivo Amambay vs San Alfonzo (LNB). Projected 86-73. Deportivo Amambay is favoured at 92%. Our projected total is 159 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Deportivo Amambay by 13Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDeportivo AmambaySan Alfonzo
Wins92%8%
By 6+82%6%
By 11+70%4%
By 16+58%3%
By 21+47%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Deportivo Amambay

Season record
16-12
Points per game
83.1
Points allowed
75.6
Rest
2 d
  1. W98-83Deportivo Campoalto
  2. W114-75Capiata Bulls
  3. L76-79Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  4. L72-80Colonias Gold
  5. W81-67San Alfonzo

San Alfonzo

Season record
8-20
Points per game
75.4
Points allowed
85.3
Rest
3 d
  1. L75-125Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  2. L104-114Deportivo Campoalto
  3. L92-94Felix Perez Cardozo
  4. W126-89Capiata Bulls
  5. L45-90Colonias Gold

Head to head

  1. Aug 21, 26San Alfonzo67Deportivo Amambay81
  2. Jun 11, 26Deportivo Amambay110San Alfonzo79
  3. May 13, 26Deportivo Amambay108San Alfonzo68
  4. Apr 20, 26San Alfonzo48Deportivo Amambay79
  5. Oct 27, 25Deportivo Amambay113San Alfonzo71

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology