Colonias Gold vs Deportivo Campoalto basketball prediction

LNB
Colonias Gold
vs
Deportivo Campoalto
Projected score
87-73
Home92%
Away8%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Colonias Gold vs Deportivo Campoalto?

Basketball: Colonias Gold vs Deportivo Campoalto (LNB). Projected 87-73. Colonias Gold is favoured at 92%. Our projected total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Colonias Gold by 14Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginColonias GoldDeportivo Campoalto
Wins92%8%
By 6+81%6%
By 11+69%4%
By 16+58%3%
By 21+46%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Colonias Gold

Season record
15-12
Points per game
80.9
Points allowed
75.9
Rest
5 d
  1. L87-98Dep. San Jose
  2. L67-70Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  3. W91-62Felix Perez Cardozo
  4. W90-45San Alfonzo
  5. W80-72Deportivo Amambay

Deportivo Campoalto

Season record
9-21
Points per game
79
Points allowed
86.4
Rest
2 d
  1. L83-98Deportivo Amambay
  2. W114-104San Alfonzo
  3. W98-87Capiata Bulls
  4. L75-113Dep. San Jose
  5. L59-91Olimpia Kings Asuncion

Head to head

  1. Aug 20, 26Deportivo Campoalto74Colonias Gold91
  2. May 28, 26Colonias Gold82Deportivo Campoalto58
  3. May 4, 26Deportivo Campoalto88Colonias Gold100
  4. Oct 13, 25Colonias Gold77Deportivo Campoalto65
  5. Sep 13, 25Deportivo Campoalto82Colonias Gold113

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology