Benfica Lisbon vs Vechta basketball prediction

Champions LeagueFull time
Projected score
89-84
Home66%
Away34%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Benfica Lisbon vs Vechta?

Basketball: Benfica Lisbon vs Vechta (Champions League). Projected 89-84. Benfica Lisbon is favoured at 66%. Our projected total is 173 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Benfica Lisbon by 5Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBenfica LisbonVechta
Wins66%34%
By 6+49%22%
By 11+34%12%
By 16+21%6%
By 21+11%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Benfica Lisbon

Season record
1-0
Points per game
87
Points allowed
78
Rest
2 d
  1. W87-78Geneva Lions
  2. L71-75FC Porto
  3. L63-87FC Porto
  4. L98-102FC Porto
  5. W89-73FC Porto

Vechta

Season record
1-0
Points per game
101
Points allowed
98
Rest
2 d
  1. W101-98Merkezefendi
  2. L89-98ALBA Berlin
  3. L79-85ALBA Berlin
  4. W91-82ALBA Berlin
  5. L85-90ALBA Berlin

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeBenfica Lisbon 88, Vechta 98winner call wrong

Match highlights

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology