Ancud vs Espanol Osorno basketball prediction

LNB
Ancud
vs
Espanol Osorno
Projected score
82-81
Home45%
Away55%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Ancud vs Espanol Osorno?

Basketball: Ancud vs Espanol Osorno (LNB). Projected 82-81. Ancud is favoured at 45%. Our projected total is 163 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Ancud by 1Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAncudEspanol Osorno
Wins45%55%
By 6+31%38%
By 11+20%24%
By 16+11%14%
By 21+6%7%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Ancud

Season record
11-17
Points per game
81.4
Points allowed
83.7
Rest
2 d
  1. L76-89Valdivia
  2. L66-88Puerto Montt
  3. W82-71Naviera Ulloa
  4. W86-82CD Puerto Varas
  5. W87-76CD Las Ánimas

Espanol Osorno

Season record
22-13
Points per game
81.6
Points allowed
77.9
Rest
4 d
  1. L82-83Valdivia
  2. L79-95CD Puerto Varas
  3. L91-94CD Las Ánimas
  4. L79-82Puerto Montt
  5. L70-77Valdivia

Head to head

  1. Aug 2, 26Ancud91Espanol Osorno92
  2. Jul 12, 26Espanol Osorno87Ancud83
  3. Apr 19, 26Espanol Osorno97Ancud84
  4. Mar 28, 26Ancud70Espanol Osorno84
  5. Oct 12, 25Ancud72Espanol Osorno79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology