Puerto Montt vs CD Puerto Varas basketball prediction

LNB
Puerto Montt
vs
CD Puerto Varas
Projected score
81-79
Home51%
Away49%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Puerto Montt vs CD Puerto Varas?

Basketball: Puerto Montt vs CD Puerto Varas (LNB). Projected 81-79. Puerto Montt is favoured at 51%. Our projected total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Puerto Montt by 2Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPuerto MonttCD Puerto Varas
Wins51%49%
By 6+37%33%
By 11+24%20%
By 16+14%11%
By 21+7%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Puerto Montt

Season record
11-17
Points per game
79
Points allowed
82.5
Rest
10 d
  1. W86-84Colo Colo
  2. W74-67Colo Colo
  3. W92-72Naviera Ulloa
  4. W88-66Ancud
  5. W82-79Espanol Osorno

CD Puerto Varas

Season record
21-16
Points per game
80.3
Points allowed
79.9
Rest
9 d
  1. W76-75Universidad Catolica
  2. W83-62Universidad Catolica
  3. W95-79Espanol Osorno
  4. L69-96Valdivia
  5. L82-86Ancud

Head to head

  1. Aug 3, 26Puerto Montt80CD Puerto Varas59
  2. Jul 14, 26CD Puerto Varas86Puerto Montt81
  3. Apr 16, 26CD Puerto Varas86Puerto Montt85
  4. Mar 25, 26Puerto Montt102CD Puerto Varas91
  5. Nov 12, 23CD Puerto Varas113Puerto Montt67

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free

This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology