Leones Quilpue vs Universidad de Concepcion basketball prediction

LNB
Leones Quilpue
vs
Universidad de Concepcion
Projected score
82-84
Home34%
Away66%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Leones Quilpue vs Universidad de Concepcion?

Basketball: Leones Quilpue vs Universidad de Concepcion (LNB). Projected 82-84. Universidad de Concepcion is favoured at 66%. Our projected total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Universidad de Concepcion by 2Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginLeones QuilpueUniversidad de Concepcion
Wins34%66%
By 6+23%49%
By 11+14%33%
By 16+7%20%
By 21+3%11%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Leones Quilpue

Season record
26-9
Points per game
82.2
Points allowed
77.4
Rest
29 d
  1. W79-76Universidad Catolica
  2. W96-69Espanol de Talca
  3. L76-97Universidad de Concepcion
  4. W87-74Universidad Catolica
  5. W61-60Colo Colo

Universidad de Concepcion

Season record
25-4
Points per game
96.2
Points allowed
76.8
Rest
32 d
  1. W103-80Espanol de Talca
  2. W97-76Leones Quilpue
  3. W79-54Universidad Catolica
  4. W93-72Colo Colo
  5. L74-86Leones Quilpue

Head to head

  1. Aug 13, 26Universidad de Concepcion97Leones Quilpue76
  2. Aug 4, 26Leones Quilpue86Universidad de Concepcion74
  3. Jun 10, 26Universidad de Concepcion78Leones Quilpue79
  4. Jun 8, 26Leones Quilpue74Universidad de Concepcion81
  5. Jun 7, 26Leones Quilpue83Universidad de Concepcion78

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology