Diablos Rojos vs Correcaminos UAT Victoria basketball prediction

LNBP
Diablos Rojos
vs
Correcaminos UAT Victoria
Projected score
90-83
Home71%
Away29%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Diablos Rojos vs Correcaminos UAT Victoria?

Basketball: Diablos Rojos vs Correcaminos UAT Victoria (LNBP). Projected 90-83. Diablos Rojos is favoured at 71%. Our projected total is 173 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Diablos Rojos by 7Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDiablos RojosCorrecaminos UAT Victoria
Wins71%29%
By 6+56%18%
By 11+41%10%
By 16+27%5%
By 21+16%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Diablos Rojos

Season record
7-11
Points per game
82.4
Points allowed
83.6
Rest
5 d
  1. L85-98Mineros
  2. W81-75Mineros
  3. L82-95Santos
  4. W97-87Santos
  5. W75-73Abejas

Correcaminos UAT Victoria

Season record
4-14
Points per game
83.7
Points allowed
92.2
Rest
4 d
  1. W85-83Dorados
  2. L79-86Dorados
  3. L88-100Panteras
  4. L78-111Panteras
  5. W78-74Soles

Head to head

  1. Sep 21, 25Diablos Rojos114Correcaminos UAT Victoria84
  2. Sep 20, 25Diablos Rojos105Correcaminos UAT Victoria80
  3. Sep 7, 24Diablos Rojos95Correcaminos UAT Victoria73
  4. Sep 7, 24Diablos Rojos95Correcaminos UAT Victoria97

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology