Sarangani Marlins vs GenSan Warriors basketball prediction

MPBL
Projected score
81-97
Home3%
Away97%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Sarangani Marlins vs GenSan Warriors?

Basketball: Sarangani Marlins vs GenSan Warriors (MPBL). Projected 81-97. GenSan Warriors is favoured at 97%. Our projected total is 178 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: GenSan Warriors by 16Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSarangani MarlinsGenSan Warriors
Wins3%97%
By 6+2%87%
By 11+1%75%
By 16+0%61%
By 21+0%46%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Sarangani Marlins

Season record
4-20
Points per game
80.1
Points allowed
94.8
Rest
7 d
  1. L95-107Quezon City
  2. L73-90Bataan Risers
  3. L65-93Rizal Golden Coolers
  4. L83-113Batang Kankaloo
  5. W113-92Manila Batang Quiapo

GenSan Warriors

Season record
18-5
Points per game
92
Points allowed
78.9
Rest
9 d
  1. W84-67Quezon Huskers
  2. L82-88Meycauayan
  3. W85-82Batang Kankaloo
  4. W88-72Quezon City
  5. L71-81Rizal Golden Coolers

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology