San Alfonzo vs Olimpia Kings Asuncion basketball prediction

LNB
San Alfonzo
vs
Olimpia Kings Asuncion
Projected score
72-86
Home5%
Away95%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for San Alfonzo vs Olimpia Kings Asuncion?

Basketball: San Alfonzo vs Olimpia Kings Asuncion (LNB). Projected 72-86. Olimpia Kings Asuncion is favoured at 95%. Our projected total is 158 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Olimpia Kings Asuncion by 14Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSan AlfonzoOlimpia Kings Asuncion
Wins5%95%
By 6+4%84%
By 11+3%73%
By 16+2%61%
By 21+1%49%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

San Alfonzo

Season record
8-19
Points per game
75.4
Points allowed
83.9
Rest
4 d
  1. L104-114Deportivo Campoalto
  2. L92-94Felix Perez Cardozo
  3. W126-89Capiata Bulls
  4. L45-90Colonias Gold
  5. L53-96Dep. San Jose

Olimpia Kings Asuncion

Season record
21-9
Points per game
83.7
Points allowed
73.1
Rest
4 d
  1. W96-51Felix Perez Cardozo
  2. W70-67Colonias Gold
  3. W79-76Deportivo Amambay
  4. W91-59Deportivo Campoalto
  5. W109-71Capiata Bulls

Head to head

  1. Aug 18, 26Olimpia Kings Asuncion102San Alfonzo84
  2. May 28, 26Olimpia Kings Asuncion49San Alfonzo98
  3. May 3, 26San Alfonzo80Olimpia Kings Asuncion67
  4. Sep 15, 25San Alfonzo71Olimpia Kings Asuncion121
  5. Aug 25, 25Olimpia Kings Asuncion111San Alfonzo82

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology