Quezon City vs Pasig City basketball prediction

MPBL
Quezon City
vs
Pasig City
Projected score
90-85
Home74%
Away26%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Quezon City vs Pasig City?

Basketball: Quezon City vs Pasig City (MPBL). Projected 90-85. Quezon City is favoured at 74%. Our projected total is 175 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Quezon City by 5Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginQuezon CityPasig City
Wins74%26%
By 6+59%18%
By 11+44%12%
By 16+31%7%
By 21+20%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Quezon City

Season record
13-12
Points per game
84.9
Points allowed
83.2
Rest
5 d
  1. W65-61Mindoro Tamaraws
  2. W107-95Sarangani Marlins
  3. L51-79Abra Weavers
  4. W111-94Imus Braderhood
  5. L72-88GenSan Warriors

Pasig City

Season record
12-13
Points per game
85.7
Points allowed
92.2
Rest
4 d
  1. L79-121Binan Tatak Gel
  2. W92-80Marikina Verdiamonds
  3. L87-96Batang Kankaloo
  4. W108-99Manila Batang Quiapo
  5. L90-100Negros Hacienderos

Head to head

  1. Jun 2, 25Quezon City79Pasig City85

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology