Espanol Osorno vs Valdivia basketball prediction

LNB
Espanol Osorno
vs
Valdivia
Projected score
79-81
Home34%
Away66%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Espanol Osorno vs Valdivia?

Basketball: Espanol Osorno vs Valdivia (LNB). Projected 79-81. Valdivia is favoured at 66%. Our projected total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Valdivia by 2Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginEspanol OsornoValdivia
Wins34%66%
By 6+23%48%
By 11+14%32%
By 16+7%20%
By 21+4%11%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Espanol Osorno

Season record
22-12
Points per game
81.6
Points allowed
77.8
Rest
27 d
  1. L79-95CD Puerto Varas
  2. L91-94CD Las Ánimas
  3. L79-82Puerto Montt
  4. L70-77Valdivia
  5. W86-84Naviera Ulloa

Valdivia

Season record
22-8
Points per game
86.4
Points allowed
75.1
Rest
26 d
  1. W90-58CD Las Ánimas
  2. W96-69CD Puerto Varas
  3. W80-74Puerto Montt
  4. W77-70Espanol Osorno
  5. W86-64Ancud

Head to head

  1. Aug 7, 26Espanol Osorno70Valdivia77
  2. Jul 16, 26Valdivia108Espanol Osorno82
  3. May 22, 26Valdivia87Espanol Osorno90
  4. May 21, 26Valdivia57Espanol Osorno69
  5. May 16, 26Espanol Osorno74Valdivia92

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology