Balıkesir BŞB vs Fenerbahce 2 basketball prediction

TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
vs
Fenerbahce 2
Projected score
84-82
Home62%
Away38%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Balıkesir BŞB vs Fenerbahce 2?

Basketball: Balıkesir BŞB vs Fenerbahce 2 (TBL). Projected 84-82. Balıkesir BŞB is favoured at 62%. Our projected total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Balıkesir BŞB by 2Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBalıkesir BŞBFenerbahce 2
Wins62%38%
By 6+45%24%
By 11+29%14%
By 16+17%7%
By 21+9%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Balıkesir BŞB

Rest
148 d
  1. L83-100OGM Ormanspor
  2. L90-91Fenerbahce 2
  3. W76-68Bordo Sportif
  4. W98-94CO Basket
  5. L75-79Ankara D.S.I.

Fenerbahce 2

Rest
129 d
  1. L63-91Konya BBSK
  2. W98-93Konya BBSK
  3. L80-102Konya BBSK
  4. L70-78Harem Spor
  5. W91-90Balıkesir BŞB

Head to head

  1. Apr 13, 26Fenerbahce 291Balıkesir BŞB90
  2. Dec 21, 25Balıkesir BŞB72Fenerbahce 288
  3. Mar 15, 25Fenerbahce 297Balıkesir BŞB83
  4. Nov 23, 24Balıkesir BŞB94Fenerbahce 276

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology