San Juan Knights vs Imus Braderhood basketball prediction

MPBL
San Juan Knights
vs
Imus Braderhood
Projected score
106-82
Home98%
Away2%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for San Juan Knights vs Imus Braderhood?

Basketball: San Juan Knights vs Imus Braderhood (MPBL). Projected 106-82. San Juan Knights is favoured at 98%. Our projected total is 188 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: San Juan Knights by 24Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSan Juan KnightsImus Braderhood
Wins98%2%
By 6+92%1%
By 11+84%0%
By 16+73%0%
By 21+60%0%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

San Juan Knights

Season record
21-5
Points per game
96.2
Points allowed
78.9
Rest
3 d
  1. W145-72Paranaque Patriots
  2. W74-62Mindoro Tamaraws
  3. W78-71Batangas City
  4. L64-71Binan Tatak Gel
  5. W120-77Imus Braderhood

Imus Braderhood

Season record
4-21
Points per game
82.8
Points allowed
102.2
Rest
5 d
  1. L85-102Rizal Golden Coolers
  2. L84-85Negros Hacienderos
  3. L94-111Quezon City
  4. L77-120San Juan Knights
  5. L80-88Batangas City

Head to head

  1. Aug 15, 26San Juan Knights120Imus Braderhood77
  2. Apr 30, 25San Juan Knights89Imus Braderhood83

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology