Lobos Plateados vs Freseros de Irapuato basketball prediction

LNBP
Lobos Plateados
vs
Freseros de Irapuato
Projected score
91-82
Home79%
Away21%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Lobos Plateados vs Freseros de Irapuato?

Basketball: Lobos Plateados vs Freseros de Irapuato (LNBP). Projected 91-82. Lobos Plateados is favoured at 79%. Our projected total is 173 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Lobos Plateados by 9Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginLobos PlateadosFreseros de Irapuato
Wins79%21%
By 6+64%13%
By 11+48%7%
By 16+33%3%
By 21+20%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Lobos Plateados

Season record
10-6
Points per game
82.9
Points allowed
80.6
Rest
12 d
  1. W85-75Gambusinos
  2. W79-65Gambusinos
  3. L90-91Fuerza Regia de Monterrey
  4. W97-88Fuerza Regia de Monterrey
  5. W95-84Diablos Rojos

Freseros de Irapuato

Season record
6-10
Points per game
87.3
Points allowed
91.7
Rest
12 d
  1. L67-77Astros
  2. L117-129Astros
  3. L84-87Gambusinos
  4. W77-73Gambusinos
  5. W80-76El Calor de Cancun

Head to head

  1. Aug 4, 24Lobos Plateados100Freseros de Irapuato91
  2. Aug 4, 24Lobos Plateados92Freseros de Irapuato94

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology