Correcaminos UAT Victoria vs Dorados basketball prediction

LNBP
Correcaminos UAT Victoria
vs
Dorados
Projected score
86-90
Home30%
Away70%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Correcaminos UAT Victoria vs Dorados?

Basketball: Correcaminos UAT Victoria vs Dorados (LNBP). Projected 86-90. Dorados is favoured at 70%. Our projected total is 176 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Dorados by 4Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCorrecaminos UAT VictoriaDorados
Wins30%70%
By 6+19%53%
By 11+11%37%
By 16+6%24%
By 21+3%13%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Correcaminos UAT Victoria

Season record
3-13
Points per game
83.9
Points allowed
93.2
Rest
12 d
  1. L88-100Panteras
  2. L78-111Panteras
  3. W78-74Soles
  4. L74-101Soles
  5. L99-108El Calor de Cancun

Dorados

Season record
10-6
Points per game
85.5
Points allowed
83.5
Rest
12 d
  1. L82-92Mineros
  2. W95-71Mineros
  3. W102-94Santos
  4. L63-87Santos
  5. L87-106Abejas

Head to head

  1. Sep 4, 25Correcaminos UAT Victoria87Dorados77
  2. Sep 28, 24Dorados70Correcaminos UAT Victoria59
  3. Sep 27, 24Dorados81Correcaminos UAT Victoria74

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology