Colonias Gold vs Dep. San Jose basketball prediction

LNB
Colonias Gold
vs
Dep. San Jose
Projected scoreOur pick
80-79

Total Points: Under 167.51.75

Home46%
Away54%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.64
Away1.97
Total points 164.5
Over1.78
Under1.80
Spread -2.5
Home1.84
Away1.74

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Colonias Gold vs Dep. San Jose?

Basketball: Colonias Gold vs Dep. San Jose (LNB). Projected 80-79. Colonias Gold is favoured at 46%. Our projected total is 159 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Colonias Gold by 1Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginColonias GoldDep. San Jose
Wins46%54%
By 6+38%43%
By 11+29%34%
By 16+22%25%
By 21+16%18%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Colonias Gold

Season record
15-11
Points per game
80.6
Points allowed
75.1
Rest
4 d
  1. L67-70Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  2. W91-62Felix Perez Cardozo
  3. W90-45San Alfonzo
  4. W80-72Deportivo Amambay
  5. W91-74Deportivo Campoalto

Dep. San Jose

Season record
25-5
Points per game
87.4
Points allowed
79
Rest
8 d
  1. W113-75Deportivo Campoalto
  2. W93-76Capiata Bulls
  3. W96-53San Alfonzo
  4. W95-91Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  5. W93-75Felix Perez Cardozo

Head to head

  1. Aug 13, 26Dep. San Jose105Colonias Gold95
  2. Jun 4, 26Colonias Gold93Dep. San Jose106
  3. May 14, 26Dep. San Jose87Colonias Gold76
  4. Oct 20, 25Dep. San Jose69Colonias Gold84
  5. Oct 2, 25Colonias Gold77Dep. San Jose63

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology