Astros vs Soles basketball prediction

LNBP
Astros
vs
Soles
Projected scoreOur pick
83-81

Total Points: Over 151.51.67

Home55%
Away45%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.63
Away2.04
Total points 157.75
Over1.78
Under1.78
Spread -2.5
Home1.81
Away1.77

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Astros vs Soles?

Basketball: Astros vs Soles (LNBP). Projected 83-81. Astros is favoured at 55%. Our projected total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Astros by 2Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAstrosSoles
Wins55%45%
By 6+40%31%
By 11+26%19%
By 16+15%10%
By 21+8%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Astros

Season record
12-4
Points per game
89.2
Points allowed
79.8
Rest
12 d
  1. W77-67Freseros de Irapuato
  2. W129-117Freseros de Irapuato
  3. W88-79El Calor de Cancun
  4. W89-50El Calor de Cancun
  5. L83-89Mineros

Soles

Season record
13-3
Points per game
85
Points allowed
74.6
Rest
12 d
  1. W89-86El Calor de Cancun
  2. W102-75El Calor de Cancun
  3. L74-78Correcaminos UAT Victoria
  4. W101-74Correcaminos UAT Victoria
  5. W78-71Mineros

Head to head

  1. Aug 13, 25Soles81Astros78
  2. Jul 11, 25Soles75Astros71
  3. Oct 31, 24Soles81Astros75
  4. Oct 27, 24Astros82Soles86
  5. Oct 27, 24Astros80Soles101

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology