Zamboanga Sikat vs Negros Hacienderos basketball prediction

MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
vs
Negros Hacienderos
Projected score
96-81
Home95%
Away5%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Zamboanga Sikat vs Negros Hacienderos?

Basketball: Zamboanga Sikat vs Negros Hacienderos (MPBL). Projected 96-81. Zamboanga Sikat is favoured at 95%. Our projected total is 177 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Zamboanga Sikat by 15Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginZamboanga SikatNegros Hacienderos
Wins95%5%
By 6+84%3%
By 11+71%1%
By 16+56%1%
By 21+41%0%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Zamboanga Sikat

Season record
9-14
Points per game
82.1
Points allowed
80.6
Rest
17 d
  1. L87-94Bataan Risers
  2. L73-76Valenzuela City Darkhorse
  3. L62-72Batangas City
  4. W130-76Paranaque Patriots
  5. W85-84Quezon City

Negros Hacienderos

Season record
3-20
Points per game
82.5
Points allowed
103.3
Rest
2 d
  1. L70-114Quezon Huskers
  2. W85-84Imus Braderhood
  3. L74-120Mindoro Tamaraws
  4. L86-97Basilan Steel
  5. W100-90Pasig City

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology