El Calor de Cancun vs Panteras basketball prediction

LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
vs
Panteras
Projected scoreOur pick
83-88

Spread: Away +11.61

Home28%
Away72%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home2.32price rising, opened at 2.09
Away1.54price falling, opened at 1.59
Total points 172.5 line moved from 174.5
Over1.83
Under1.84
Spread +4 line moved from +2.5
Home1.83
Away1.83

Market move since Sep 10. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for El Calor de Cancun vs Panteras?

Basketball: El Calor de Cancun vs Panteras (LNBP). Projected 83-88. Panteras is favoured at 72%. Our projected total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Panteras by 5Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginEl Calor de CancunPanteras
Wins28%72%
By 6+18%55%
By 11+10%39%
By 16+5%25%
By 21+2%15%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

El Calor de Cancun

Season record
4-12
Points per game
79.6
Points allowed
86.9
Rest
11 d
  1. L86-89Soles
  2. L75-102Soles
  3. L79-88Astros
  4. L50-89Astros
  5. L76-80Freseros de Irapuato

Panteras

Season record
11-5
Points per game
90.5
Points allowed
84.2
Rest
11 d
  1. W100-88Correcaminos UAT Victoria
  2. W111-78Correcaminos UAT Victoria
  3. L78-98Mineros
  4. W95-93Mineros
  5. W104-88Santos

Head to head

  1. Aug 9, 25El Calor de Cancun96Panteras93
  2. Aug 8, 25El Calor de Cancun80Panteras74
  3. Oct 5, 24Panteras61El Calor de Cancun88
  4. Oct 4, 24Panteras75El Calor de Cancun77

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology