Quezon Huskers vs Basilan Steel basketball prediction

MPBL
Quezon Huskers
vs
Basilan Steel
Projected score
87-71
Home96%
Away4%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Quezon Huskers vs Basilan Steel?

Basketball: Quezon Huskers vs Basilan Steel (MPBL). Projected 87-71. Quezon Huskers is favoured at 96%. Our projected total is 158 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Quezon Huskers by 16Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginQuezon HuskersBasilan Steel
Wins96%4%
By 6+86%2%
By 11+73%1%
By 16+59%1%
By 21+44%0%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Quezon Huskers

Season record
18-4
Points per game
85.5
Points allowed
66.4
Rest
4 d
  1. L67-84GenSan Warriors
  2. W107-65Manila Batang Quiapo
  3. W67-59Pasay Voyagers
  4. W116-66Paranaque Patriots
  5. L79-80Cebu Greats

Basilan Steel

Season record
9-7
Points per game
84
Points allowed
88.6
Rest
20 d
  1. W97-86Negros Hacienderos
  2. W75-74Paranaque Patriots
  3. W102-89Manila Batang Quiapo
  4. L71-103Batang Kankaloo
  5. W93-86Sarangani Marlins

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology